Harald, in progress.

essays/Essay 01DoctrineAn experiment

Why harald.bot exists

Publishing a life like a code repository sounds vain. I think it is the cheapest way to be wrong less often. Here is the test.

Published v1.02 minExample text

Question: Why publish a life like a code repository?

AHistoryv1.04 SepPublished. repository keeps every version of a thing, each with a date and a reason. Most of us keep our opinions the other way: one copy, overwritten in place, no history. You cannot see what you used to think, so you cannot see how often you were wrong.

Historyv1.04 SepPublished.

Hypothesis

If I keep my work where anyone can read it, dated and versioned, I will be wrong less often within a year, and I will notice sooner when I am.

Postulate

Being wrong in private costs nothing. Nobody sees the old version, including me. A public version with a date on it costs a little to be wrong about, and what costs something gets attention.

Effect

If that holds, it should show in the changelog: fewer reversals of the same kind, a shorter gap between a mistake and its patch, fewer claims I never come back to check.

Experiment

The site is the protocol. Every essay shows its version and its history. An opinion that changes gets a patch, and the old version stays readable. Every Monday the changelog says what moved. Every claim worth a number gets one, like the one at the foot of this page.

What it is

Not a diary, and not a portfolio. A diary has no reader to keep it honest; a portfolio keeps only the wins. This is closer to a lab notebook11In a lab notebook every page is dated and nothing is torn out. A correction goes beside the mistake, never over it. Same rule here. left open on the bench by the door.

1In a lab notebook every page is dated and nothing is torn out. A correction goes beside the mistake, never over it. Same rule here.

Evidence

None yet, and that is the honest state of version 1.0. The first evidence will be the changelog itself: how many patches, how many reversals, how long from the wrong number to the right one. I will publish the count whether it flatters me or not.

Conclusion

Provisional, as it should be. I publish because a version I can see is a version I can be wrong about, and being wrong in public is the fastest correction I know. If in a year the changelog shows that nothing moved, the experiment failed, and this page will say so.

Harald

Your turn Ninety percent sure

Are you calibrated?

How sure are you of this claim? Drag the mark, then lock your answer.

From the hypothesis

“Keeping your work public, dated and versioned, makes you wrong less often.”

I’m at 70% before any evidence. Ask me again in a year.